Federal treasury will stay in surplus, despite slowdown: Flaherty
Last Updated: Monday, January 14, 2008 | 5:33 PM ET
CBC News
Related
Internal Links
External Links
- Finance department online pre-budget consultations
- Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives technical paper (PDF file)
(Note: CBC does not endorse and is not responsible for the content of external sites - links will open in new window)
Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said Monday that there's no substance to worries that the country will head back into a deficit situation if the economy slows.
Flaherty's comments came as a new report by the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives (CCPA) warned that the federal treasury could easily record a deficit if economic growth slows more than the government expects.
"We have anticipated some economic slowing in Canada for months now, which is precisely why we took dramatic action on Oct. 30 [to cut business taxes]," Flaherty told reporters at a Vancouver news conference.
As for the future, the finance minister said he will "keep spending within the rate of growth of the economy, and quite frankly, I hope to do more than that … I want to make sure we keep the budget in surplus."
The CCPA says the tax cuts announced last October give Ottawa little wiggle room to stay in surplus should the economy turn sour.
The centre's report outlines four possible scenarios for the economy and even under its least pessimistic version — inflation-adjusted growth of one per cent this year and 1.5 per cent next year — the budget surplus would vanish in 2008-09 and become a $2.4 billion deficit by 2009-10.
The CCPA said the federal government "can and should" run a deficit if the economy turns down. "The biggest danger is that the feds will respond by cutting spending in order to maintain the budget balance, a move that would only worsen the downturn," said Marc Lee, the CCPA's chief economist and the report's author.
Flaherty launches pre-budget consultations
Flaherty was in Vancouver for the Finance Department's pre-budget consultations. Flaherty is touring the country, hearing ideas from business leaders about what they'd like to see in the budget.
The department also launched its online pre-budget consultation initiative on Monday. Last year's effort attracted almost 8,000 submissions from the public.
"Although our economic fundamentals are solid, we need to focus on the various risks and challenges that confront us," Flaherty said in remarks posted on the Finance Department web site.
"These include the impact of an economic slowdown in the U.S. and ongoing turmoil in financial markets, the continuing need to adjust to a higher Canadian dollar and increasing global competition, as well as the aging of the Canadian population."
Flaherty and Prime Minister Stephen Harper have already cautioned that there may not be much additional tax relief or new spending in the budget.
"We will be extremely cautious in the year to come," Harper said on New Year's Eve as his government's latest GST cut was about to go into effect.
"We're not going to undertake any long-run spending or tax reduction initiatives unless we believe they are affordable on a long-term basis."
The next federal budget is expected in February or March.
Share Tools
Top News Headlines
- Tories move to curb 'bogus' refugees
- The Conservative government is poised to change the refugee system yet again in an attempt to deter what it considers "bogus" claimants, CBC News has learned. more »
- Children of immigrants challenged at school, home
- By 2016, foreign-born youth and Canadian-born youth from immigrant families will make up a quarter of the country's population, according to predictions by the Canadian Council on Social Development. As their numbers grow, more attention is being paid to their successes and failures. more »
- 2 NDP MPs back final Commons vote to kill gun registry
- Two NDP MPs broke party ranks to vote with the government in the final House of Commons vote on scrapping the long-gun registry. more »
- B.C. house party trial hears from tearful teens
- Two teenagers cried as they testified at the trial of a B.C. woman who was charged after a teen died while her son was hosting a party at her house in 2008. more »
Latest Business Headlines
- Nortel collapse linked to hacking attack
- A former systems security adviser to Nortel Networks says he has no doubt that extensive cyber attacks on the technology company contributed to its downfall. more »
- Competition Bureau investigating global banks
- Canada's Competition Bureau is investigating allegations that certain global banks or financial brokerage firms conspired to manipulate interest rate derivatives for more than three years. more »
- Canadian housing market cools in January
- The housing resale market retreated in January following a strong December finish to 2011, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. more »
- U.S. Fed divided on new bond buying
- The U.S. Federal Reserve isn't about to launch another bond-buying program to boost the economy — at least not anytime soon. more »
Lang & O'Leary Exchange
Markets
| Index | Last Trade | Change |
|---|---|---|
| TSX COMPOSITE | 12362.03 | 7.56 |
| DOW | 12780.95 | -97.33 |
| NASDAQ | 2915.83 | -16 |
| SP 500 | 1343.23 | -7.27 |
| NYSE COMPOSITE | 7998.65 | -30.96 |
| AMEX | 2419.99 | -9.07 |
| TSX-VENTURE | 1633.58 | 3.55 |
The data on this site is informational only and may be delayed; it is not intended as trading or investment advice and you should not rely on it as such.
Business Features
- Drummond report on Ontario calls for cutbacks
- Barefoot girl's icy trek not blamed on babysitter
- 2 NDP MPs back final Commons vote to kill gun registry
- Immigrants the proudest Canadians, poll suggests
- Honduras prison fire kills hundreds
- Bodyguard hired for bully victim in Fredericton
- Canadian housing market cools in January
- Legalize pot, say former B.C. attorneys general
- Russians' abusive plane tirade to cost them $19K

