Michael Hlinka: The case for a Big 3 bailout
- December 4, 2008 11:17 AM |
- By Michael Hlinka
Money Talks is a daily business column from CBC radio.
By Michael Hlinka, CBC business columnist.INTRO:
Maybe we won't be referring to the Detroit-based automakers as the Big Three for very much longer. Yesterday, the United Auto Worker Executive met to discuss what concessions that they are willing to make to save at least some jobs, and more importantly, the companies they work for. There is every indication that a deal will be struck and a multibillion-dollar lifeline will be granted ... and sooner rather than later.
If that sounds like a lot of money – it’s because it is. But I think it’s important to look at that number in the proper context.
The United States government recently authorized a direct infusion of capital of $25 billion US into several different financial services companies. When you spread the money the U.S. car companires want over the United States population, it amounts to something like $100 for each American taxpayer. When you think about the dislocations to the U. S. economy that bankruptcy might present, it may indeed be money well spent.
The central issue is very basic: The Detroit Three's current business model – which includes a wage structure of $70-something an hour, too many different lines of cars, and a bloated dealership network – is unsustainable.
There’s a new reality over the horizon: Fewer people will work for lower wages. General Motors is talking about reducing its blue-collar headcount from the current level of 96,000 to less than half of that over the next four years. A smaller workforce means fewer cars being made: GM has already indicated that it may sell or even close its Saab and Saturn brands, and its dealership network could shrink by 2,000 in the near future.
What does all this mean for automobile manufacturing in this country?
Our federal government is faced with a difficult decision: Will it keeping throwing money in the form of subsidies towards the Detroit 3, while they continue to shrink. Or should its strategy be to get out of the business of subsidizing them, minimizing the fallout in the process?
The fact is that Canada is not big enough to save GM, Ford and Chrysler. The truth is that there are better ways to use our scarce resources. Playing out in front of us is the possible death of the Detroit 3 in Canada.… and if we’re smart, we’ll bury the corpse quickly.
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Comments (2)
This is bit like triage .
I am all for letting the existing system go and allow the big three to renegotiate every thing including un-realistic exc wages .If they were able to come out with $50 per hour labour cost apparently the same as the Japanese company's in Canada then maybe sales would work and the need for subsidizing by other taxpayers earing a lot less than $70 per hour will go away . Take the pain now or take the pain later .Subsidizing is like prescribing drugs many times they hide the pain but don't cure the problem .
Short term economic pain is unavoidable but tampering with the ecomonic balance through bailouts is hazardous.
I read Andrew Coyne's opinion in Dec. 1 Maclean's. His point was that by meddling with the economy to assist floundering companies, governments actually destabilize those companies that have built successful business models. Floundering businesses, can "artificially" attract customers away from the businesses that still need to make a profit to survive.
Governments need to provide a stable economic platform on which solid businesses can attract long term investors to create real prosperity.
The Big 3 may not survive in their current form without government intervention and we will hurt for a while. But these companies have lots of assets (including a skilled work force) that can be utilized by more visionary companies to create stronger businesses and real wealth for the future.