Michael Hlinka: We should replace the Bank of Canada with a computer
- September 4, 2008 7:17 AM |
- By Michael Hlinka
Money Talks is a daily business column from CBC radio.
To the surprise of many - including me - the Bank of Canada left the Bank Rate unchanged yesterday morning. In fact, when you read the text of the Bank's announcement, the decision becomes borderline inexplicable.
They themselves admit that overall economic activity is now lower than they expected when they met in July - when rates were also held at this level - and that inflation will also likely be lower than previously thought in the months to come. The logical conclusion is that conditions are weakening, marginally, and because there tends to be a lag between instituting policy and its impact being felt, the Bank should have acted to get ahead of the economic curve.
Or should it?
There is a compelling argument - introduced years ago by Nobel-winning Economist Milton Friedman - that activist monetary policy does more harm than good. By activist monetary policy I mean the following: The Central Bank's ability to lower or raise interest rates, thereby influencing over-all economic activity.
Traditional theory and conventional thinking agree that a Central Bank should have this discretionary power. Friedman disagreed. He believed that for a variety of reasons more harm than good was accomplished. It politicized the Central Bank, making it a tool of the Federal Government. And because of the lag between instituting policy and its impact being felt, changing interest rates could actually hurt the economy more than help it.
So what's the alternative?
It's actually quite simple - just leave the Bank Rate unchanged and constant. Let's go back to Milton Friedman. He argued very persuasively that the Federal Reserve, which is the U. S. equivalent to the Bank of Canada, should be "abolished" and replaced with a computer. That computer would grow the money supply at the same rate that the economy grows… just that simple. Therefore, we'd never again see inflation or asset bubbles caused by too much money being pumped into the system to artificially stimulate growth.
And we wouldn't go through yesterday's drama, where the markets try to anticipate what institutions like the Bank of Canada will do in order to profit from it. Because when you think about for a moment … what are interest rates, anyway? An indication of what money costs. Nothing more and not less.
We would find it totally unacceptable if any central authority artificially limited the wages we make. As much as fluctuating prices for products like gasoline and bread frustrate us in the short run, there's a wide-spread consensus that market forces are the best and fairest way to determine what those things should cost. Money should be no different.
Milton Friedman was right: We should abolish the Bank of Canada and replace it with a computer. Then we'd know that interest rates would be steady and constant… and so would be economic growth!
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Comments (7)
You'd need a very good algorithm to protect yourself from big players gaming the system. How would the computer respond to the floods of cash coming from Japan and Switzerland seeking higher rates of return? That tends to push up the currency and lower rates, heating an economy up when higher rates might be desirable.
Great. So we fix our interest rates, and watch the Canadian dollar move up and down whenever other countries' adjustments to their interest rates open up a differential between ours and theirs. Sounds like a recipe for growth and stability (not)!
This is the model that China uses to manage it's economy, isn't it?
This is a great article. Look at what is happening in the financial world today. It all funnels down to the point that the central banks have a monopoly over our money supply. Why do we have to borrow money from a central bank (who creates the money out of nothing) at an interest charge. Why can't the government just create the money debt free. I think we would all be better off.
On the contrary. I would much prefer if we repatriated Canada's debt to the B of C for the people. The power of money creation was given to the chartered banks in the mid 1970's and look what has happened!! The interest on this debt is keeping Canada from really helping it's citizens. Look to the motives that prompted that and the Mulroney changes in 1993 and you will see that the people of Canada came out the losers while the banks grew fat!!!
All of this is complete non-sense. The Bank of Canada should be abolished and replaced with nothing. No one body should have the monopoly over currency--which is exactly what this Central Bank has. This whole economic mess is the result of reckless loans being financed by currency already in circulation, essentially robbing Canadians of money in deceptive way.
This type of money system is extremely dangerous. It is not based on anything of real value. It is a fiat currency system rather than one based precious metals such as gold. Have we not learned from history how dangerous this is to the economic well-being of a country? Case in point, Germany in the 1920s suffered super-inflation as the result of printing more and more money. As a result of this the currency collapsed and their banknotes were rendered more worthless than kindling.
This also occurred during our Great Depression and it was mostly caused by the US Federal Reserve Bank. It loaned out so much money that the economy inflated so much that it popped. This bank was supposed to stop these boom and bust cycles, but instead it precipitated a sham boom (The Roaring '20s) and then the very real bust of 1929.
Currency should return to the old tried and true gold standard. The huge cost of gold at the moment demonstrates how weak our money has become. One simple way to put it is in this analogy: If a can of pop was 5 cents 30 years ago and now costs $1 for the very same can of pop, is the can of pop 20x better or is the money 20x weaker? The money is 20x weaker and therefore more, less valuable money is needed to purchase it.
It's no wonder we're in this quagmire.
All central banks in the world should be abolished there is simply no reason why their should be a monopoly on the printing of money especially when it's in the hands of international bankers. Every dollar we print is owed back to the central bank with INTEREST that is ridiculous! All countries in the world have the right to print debt free currency so why relinquish that right to international bankers?
Josh is right the central bank was put in place to create economic stability to prevent crisis' like the great depression from happening but in actually it just gave them the power to control the economy and since virtually ever country has a central bank than it is feasible that the world could be sent into a huge depression at the whim of a few international banks. I don't know about you but that scares the shit out of me.