Dow Jones, S&P hit all-time highs

U.S. stocks hits new highs on Monday as both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 hit record levels above 16,000 and 1,800 points, respectively, before the two indices slipped back to finish lower.
Dianne Buckner on the sharp rise in the Dow and TSX 2:19

U.S. stocks hits new highs on Monday as both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 reached milestones.

The S&P 500 crossed 1,800 for the first time. However, it couldn't hold that position and finished Monday at 1,791, down six points from Friday.

Meanwhile, the Dow passed 16,000 before finishing the day at 15,976, for a gain of 14 points, or 0.1 per cent, from Friday's close.

"Today, we see why the Dow is such a flawed and misleading stock index," said David Baskin, of Baskin Financial Services in Toronto.

The Dow is a collection of 30 stocks that trade on the NYSE. In fact, 28 of those companies were relatively flat on Monday but the Dow as a whole moved higher because of two stocks — Boeing and Goldman Sachs. 

Boeing announced it has taken in $100 billion in orders for its new 777 jetliners at the Dubai Airshow. And Goldman Sachs gained two per cent after a report in New York suggested banking regulatory reform will not be as onerous as previously thought.

The Dow is a value-weighted index, which means expensive stocks (such as Boeing and Goldman Sachs) have a disproportionate amount of influence on the total value of what is already a small group of only 30 companies.

"If you look at your own portfolio and you look at the Dow, you're wondering why you're having such mediocre performance," Baskin says. "But people should ignore the Dow."

Broad S&P also higher

The S&P new record, however, is more significant. The S&P 500 tracks a group of 500 companies and as such is a truer representation, Baskin and others believe, of the overall market.

"People like round numbers," Baskin says. "The Dow hitting 16,000 is symbolically important and the same goes for the S&P hitting 1,800."

Some are concerned that high levels like that are a sign of a market top, and that it's perhaps time for booming U.S. stock markets to take a breather and contract a little.

But Baskin says the fundamentals support the high valuations. At 1,800 points, the S&P is at roughly 15 to 15.5 times annual earnings for the companies in it. That's well within historical norms, he notes.

"At the end of the day what drives markets is earnings," Baskin says. "Right now earnings are at an all-time high and forecast to go higher. I see no reason to say the stock market is overextended."

Others agree.

"The Fed is still pumping money into the system, which is helping fuel the market," said Planned Financial Services CEO Frank Fantozzi. "There's much more confidence in the market."

The S&P 500 index has risen for six weeks straight and is up 26 per cent so far this year. The market hasn't risen that much in a whole year since 2003. The S&P 500 has closed above major round-number milestones three times this year: 1,500 on Jan. 25, 1,600 on May 3 and 1,700 on Aug. 1.

The benchmark index of the Toronto Stock Exchange is at a two-year high but has still not recouped all the losses it suffered after the fiscal meltdown of 2008-09. The main index of the TSX has been weighed down this year by lacklustre performance in the energy and materials sectors, which play a much more influential role in the Canadian market than in the U.S. 


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