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Public Opinion

Results of the CBC/Environics poll November 2006

Last Updated November 8, 2006

CBC News and Environics Research Group conducted a public opinion poll in early November 2006, on the issues of Canada's Armed Forces, Afghanistan, elections, Liberal leadership and issues of greatest public concern.

Here are some results:

Overall satisfaction

Question: Thinking about Canada, overall, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in this country today?
%
Satisfied63
Dissatisfied34
Don't know / No answer3

Issues

Question: In your opinion, what is the most important issue...
...for Ottawa to deal with? 2004 May...affecting your vote? 2006 Jan...facing the country today? 2006 Nov
Health care/health care system 35 22 16
Environment/pollution 2 4 13
Afghanistan/Militarization - - 10
Economy 6 6 7
Poor leadership/poor government 1 5
International issues/war/peace4 1 5
Poverty/homelessness/hunger 4 - 4
Employment 3 - 4
Taxes/tax cuts 4 5 3
Crime/law and order 2 3 3
Education 4 4 2
Social issues/safety net 2 3 2
Immigration issues 1 - 2
Canada-U.S relations 2 1 1
Same sex marriage - 2 1
Fuel/energy 4 -
Government / leadership / scandals / sponsorship issue / honesty / ethics / Gomery14 141


Question: In dealing with environmental issues, do you think the current federal government's approach is...
%
Too tough 3
Not tough enough 71
About right 22
Don't Know/No Answer 5


Question: Do you approve or disapprove of recent changes to income trusts?
%
Approve 42
Disapprove 28
Don't Know/No Answer 30

Federal politics

Question: If a Canadian federal election were held today, is there a party you might be inclined to support?
Total %
The Conservative Party 29
The Liberal Party 28
New Democratic Party 16
The Bloc Québécois 8
Green Party 4
Other Party 1
Abstain/will not vote 3
Refused to answer 6
Don't Know/No Answer 5


Among decided voters only:
Total Atlantic Quebec Ontario Prairies B.C.
The Conservative Party 33 31 20 33 53 34
The Liberal Party 32 42 23 42 20 29
New Democratic Party 19 22 11 19 19 27
The Bloc Québécois 9 - 42 - - -
Green Party 5 4 2 5 6 9
Other Party 1 - 2 1 2 *


If one of the following candidates were to become Liberal party leader, would you be more likely to vote Liberal, less likely to vote Liberal, or would it make no difference?

a) Stéphane Dion
%
More Likely 10
Less Likely 20
Make no difference 62
Don't Know/No Answer 8


b) Michael Ignatieff
%
More Likely 12
Less Likely 20
Make no difference 60
Don't Know/No Answer 8


c) Gerard Kennedy
%
More Likely 7
Less Likely 16
Make no difference 67
Don't Know/No Answer 10


d) Bob Rae
%
More Likely 17
Less Likely 20
Make no difference 57
Don't Know/No Answer 6


National unity

Question: Do you think that Quebec is a nation within Canada?
Total %Quebec %Rest of Canada %
Yes, is 39 61 32
No, is not 57 34 64
Don't Know/No Answer 4 5 3


Question: Do you think the Canadian constitution should or should not be changed to recognize Quebec as a nation within Canada?
Total %Quebec %Rest of Canada %
Yes should be changed 26 6613
No should not be changed 70 30 83
Don't Know/No Answer 4 4 4


Question to people living in Quebec: If a referendum were held today on the same question that was asked in 1995, that is, sovereignty with an offer of partnership with the rest of Canada, would you vote YES or would you vote NO?
Quebec %
Yes 52
No 40
Would not vote/spoil 3
Don't Know/No Answer 5

Survey methods

The results of the survey are based on 2005 telephone interviews conducted by Environics Research Group Ltd. for the CBC from November 2 to 6, 2006.

The sampling method was designed to complete interviews with respondents age 18 and older within households randomly selected across the 10 province. The sampling model relies on stratification by province and by community size.

The results are weighted to reflect the actual proportions of the provinces in the population. On a national basis, the confidence level is + 2.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

The sample sizes and associated margins:

Number of people interviewed +/- %
Canada 2005 2.2
Atlantic Canada 260 6.1
Quebec 505 4.3
Ontario 600 4.0
Manitoba/Saskatchewan 154 7.9
Alberta 226 6.5
British Columbia 260 6.1

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Results of the CBC/Environics poll November 2006
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