Story Tools: PRINT | Text Size: S M L XL | REPORT TYPO | SEND YOUR FEEDBACK

In Depth

Nuclear Weapons

The Doomsday Clock advances two minutes

Last Updated Jan. 17, 2007

Scientist Stephen Hawking is seen during a press conference on the Doomsday Clock, a symbol of the risk of atomic cataclysm. (Lewis Whyld/Associated Press)

The world is now two minutes closer to a destructive nuclear war.

At least that is the view of a group of prominent scientists from Europe and North America who, in January 2007, turned forward the hands of time on the Doomsday Clock.

These scientists believe that such factors as impending climate change, globalization and a revival of nuclear ambitions by smaller nations such as North Korea and Iran will create the conditions for a second unleashing of nuclear weaponry.

Changing the clock is not a step the scientists take lightly. The clock was developed in 1947 by former Manhattan Project scientists who sided against nuclear weapons after creating the world's first atomic bomb.

The prophetic clock premiered during the Cold War to measure how close humankind was to self-destruction via nuclear weapons. When it was established, scientists set the clock at seven minutes to midnight, with 12 a.m. representing the nuclear obliteration of the human race. It has now been set at two minutes closer to the end.

The timepiece hangs at the University of Chicago and has been reset 17 times in the last 60 years to reflect a changing sense of security in a nuclear world. Some frequently asked questions:

Who is responsible for the clock?

In 1945, a group of atomic scientists founded the newsletter Bulletin of Atomic Scientists to promote their concerns about the danger of nuclear technology to politicians and the public.

The newsletter eventually evolved into a magazine that is still in circulation and the group is currently based out of Chicago. The scientists are all important authorities on nuclear technology and the world has relied on the Doomsday Clock to gauge the status of nuclear threat.

The people behind the Bulletin include some of the most prominent scientists and professors in the world. For the most recent change of the minute hand, for example, the Bulletin's board of directors consulted with its board of sponsors, which is composed of 18 Nobel Prize laureates.

One of the notable sponsors was prized physicist and mathematician Stephen Hawking who was part of the January 2007 announcement.

When was the clock closest to midnight?

In 1953, the minute hand rested precariously only two minutes away from midnight and a nuclear-inspired Armageddon. This reflected U.S. development of the hydrogen bomb in October 1952 and its testing on an atoll in the Pacific Ocean. This action provoked the Soviet Union, which nine months later tested its version of the nuclear device. At the time, Bulletin announced: "Only a few more swings of the pendulum and from Moscow to Chicago atomic explosions will strike midnight for Western civilization." The clock ticked back in 1960 to 11:53 when Soviet and U.S. scientists came together to share information at the Pugwash conference. The two superpowers also agreed to avoid any direct confrontations in regional conflicts.

When was the minute hand furthest away?

The Doomsday minute hand sat a comfortable 17 minutes from midnight in 1991, a year after the Cold War ended. At that point, the United States and Russia began the process of disarming through the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty.

The number of nuclear weapons possessed by each side decreased and talks brought down the ready-to-fire status on much of the weaponry.

Why the recent move to five minutes from midnight?

Add a new crop of countries dazzled by nuclear technology to other global threats such as climate change and environmental degradation and the result, according to the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, is almost toxic.

"We stand at the brink of a second nuclear age," the board said in a statement.

The move from seven to five minutes from midnight was decided upon after scientists reviewed the current nuclear situation in combination with expected climate change, marking the first time the Doomsday Clock has ever reflected a separate world threat in addition to the bomb.

"As scientists, we understand the dangers of nuclear weapons and their devastating effects, and we are learning how human activities and technologies are affecting climate systems in ways that may forever change life on earth," said board sponsor Stephen Hawking at the Doomsday Clock announcement in London.

The board emphasized that climate change is a slow process but said that in time its lasting effects and the challenges it will bring to peaceful existence may be second only to atomic weapons.

Climate change can upset the delicate ecosystems of the world, leading to the disappearance of animals, land and even whole societies.

Global warming is also likely to turn much of the world toward nuclear power as an environmentally cleaner alternative to fossil fuels. But this would make nuclear material more readily available and perhaps lead to a dependence on the explosive material.

Today's nuclear weapons, the scientists warn, are already much stronger than their predecessors — 50 of the top nuclear weapons available are capable of wiping out 200 million people.

What's more, there are also 26,000 nuclear remnants leftover from the Cold War in the hands of the U.S. and former members of the Soviet Union. Many of this latter group, it is said, don't have the resources to properly safeguard their stash.

Uranium and plutonium, both atomic materials, are also relatively unguarded in power plants and in research and military facilities. That leaves the material accessible to persons or groups bent on creating nuclear havoc.

Go to the Top

RELATED

External Links

Status of Multilateral Arms Regulation and Disarmament Agreements/Text of treaties

(Note: CBC does not endorse and is not responsible for the content of external sites - links will open in new window)

[an error occurred while processing this directive]
Story Tools: PRINT | Text Size: S M L XL | REPORT TYPO | SEND YOUR FEEDBACK

World »

Sri Lankan parliament dissolved
Sri Lankan president Mahinda Rajapaksa has dissolved parliament, setting the stage for new elections a day after authorities arrested Gen. Sarath Fonseka, his chief rival and the leader of the opposition.
Avalanches near Afghan capital kill over 60
Avalanches in a mountain pass north of Kabul have killed at least 60 people, injured about 400 and left 1,500 stranded on blocked roads, Afghan officials say.
Haitian man pulled from rubble Video
A 28-year-old man has been pulled from rubble in Port-au-Prince, Haiti, claiming to have been trapped there since the massive earthquake on Jan. 12.
more »

Canada »

Health costs push Alberta budget deficit to $4.75B Video
Alberta's Progressive Conservative government is projecting a record $4.75-billion budget deficit and planning cuts in many departments while increasing health-care spending.
Trenton colonel's charges spur cold case review Video
The 2001 slaying of a Nova Scotia woman at CFB Trenton in eastern Ontario is among the cases being re-examined after murder charges were laid against Col. Russell Williams.
Neighbours stunned by arrest of Col. Williams
Ottawa resident Michael Gennis was stunned when he found out his new neighbour, Col. Russell Williams, had been charged with killing two women in eastern Ontario.
more »

Politics »

Tories need plan for isotope shortage: Ignatieff
Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff accused the Conservative government of having no plan of action to deal with a medical isotope shortage expected to worsen later this month.
Ottawa to appeal injection site ruling Video
The federal government is asking the Supreme Court of Canada for leave to appeal a lower court ruling that sanctioned Vancouver's supervised drug injection site.
Montreal inventor unveils 3-D baggage scanner Video
A Montreal inventor has developed a three-dimensional baggage scanner that he says can make air travel safer and more convenient for passengers.
more »

Health »

Ottawa to appeal injection site ruling Video
The federal government is asking the Supreme Court of Canada for leave to appeal a lower court ruling that sanctioned Vancouver's supervised drug injection site.
Antidepressant interferes with breast-cancer drug
Women taking the breast cancer drug tamoxifen should avoid taking the antidepressant Paxil because the antidepressant may cancel out the benefits of the cancer treatment, researchers say.
Obamas aim to improve kids' health, fitness
A nationwide campaign to combat childhood obesity was launched Tuesday by U.S. President Barack Obama and his wife Michelle.
more »

Arts & Entertainment»

Perez Hilton, Black Eyed Peas manager settle
A civil lawsuit stemming from a scuffle between outrageous celebrity blogger Perez Hilton and a manager for the Black Eyed Peas has been dropped.
Winners, losers emerge in native art deal Audio
When Vancouver was granted the Olympics, the organizing committee struck a formal partnership with four First Nations who claim the lands where the Games are to be held and spoke of showcasing native culture to the world. But some native people say the promise of jobs, training, and business opportunities for aboriginals is proving empty.
Halifax concert raises $270K for Haiti
Thousands of people packed the Halifax Metro Centre Monday night to raise hundreds of thousands of dollars to help the people of earthquake-devastated Haiti.
more »

Technology & Science »

Google adds social media to Gmail
Google is introducing Buzz, a group of features that add Facebook and Twitter-like functionality to Gmail.
Montreal inventor unveils 3-D baggage scanner Video
A Montreal inventor has developed a three-dimensional baggage scanner that he says can make air travel safer and more convenient for passengers.
Tech buying bounces back in 2009: NPD
Canadians spent $4.66 billion on computer and information technology products in 2009, up one per cent from 2008.
more »

Money »

Health costs push Alberta budget deficit to $4.75B Video
Alberta's Progressive Conservative government is projecting a record $4.75-billion budget deficit and planning cuts in many departments while increasing health-care spending.
Honda recalls 378,000 cars for airbag defect
Honda Motor Co. is adding more than 378,000 cars to a safety recall for airbag inflation problems.
Toyota recall spreads to Prius and beyond Video
Toyota is recalling 437,000 Prius and other hybrid cars worldwide to fix brake problems — the latest embarrassing safety defect for the world's largest automaker.
more »

Consumer Life »

Tim Hortons defends customer ban
Tim Hortons is defending a New Brunswick store owner's decision to ban a customer who complained repeatedly about its decaffeinated coffee.
500,000 cribs recalled in U.S.
Government safety officials in the U.S. have announced a recall of more than 500,000 drop-side cribs sold at Buy Buy Baby, Kmart, Wal-Mart and other stores after the death of three infants.
Montreal inventor unveils 3-D baggage scanner Video
A Montreal inventor has developed a three-dimensional baggage scanner that he says can make air travel safer and more convenient for passengers.
more »

Sports »

Scores: NHL NBA

Senators keep marching with win over Flames
The Ottawa Senators notched their 12th win in the last 13 games with a 3-2 come-from-behind win over the visiting Calgary Flames on Tuesday.
Canucks struck down by Lightning
Martin St. Louis had two goals and one assist as the Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-1 on Tuesday night.
B.C. Lions owner Braley buys Argonauts
Toronto Argonauts co-owners David Cynamon and Howard Sokolowski have completed an agreement to sell the franchise to B.C. Lions owner David Braley.
more »