Story Tools: PRINT | Text Size: S M L XL | REPORT TYPO | SEND YOUR FEEDBACK

In Depth

Nuclear Weapons

The Doomsday Clock advances two minutes

Last Updated Jan. 17, 2007

Scientist Stephen Hawking is seen during a press conference on the Doomsday Clock, a symbol of the risk of atomic cataclysm. (Lewis Whyld/Associated Press)

The world is now two minutes closer to a destructive nuclear war.

At least that is the view of a group of prominent scientists from Europe and North America who, in January 2007, turned forward the hands of time on the Doomsday Clock.

These scientists believe that such factors as impending climate change, globalization and a revival of nuclear ambitions by smaller nations such as North Korea and Iran will create the conditions for a second unleashing of nuclear weaponry.

Changing the clock is not a step the scientists take lightly. The clock was developed in 1947 by former Manhattan Project scientists who sided against nuclear weapons after creating the world's first atomic bomb.

The prophetic clock premiered during the Cold War to measure how close humankind was to self-destruction via nuclear weapons. When it was established, scientists set the clock at seven minutes to midnight, with 12 a.m. representing the nuclear obliteration of the human race. It has now been set at two minutes closer to the end.

The timepiece hangs at the University of Chicago and has been reset 17 times in the last 60 years to reflect a changing sense of security in a nuclear world. Some frequently asked questions:

Who is responsible for the clock?

In 1945, a group of atomic scientists founded the newsletter Bulletin of Atomic Scientists to promote their concerns about the danger of nuclear technology to politicians and the public.

The newsletter eventually evolved into a magazine that is still in circulation and the group is currently based out of Chicago. The scientists are all important authorities on nuclear technology and the world has relied on the Doomsday Clock to gauge the status of nuclear threat.

The people behind the Bulletin include some of the most prominent scientists and professors in the world. For the most recent change of the minute hand, for example, the Bulletin's board of directors consulted with its board of sponsors, which is composed of 18 Nobel Prize laureates.

One of the notable sponsors was prized physicist and mathematician Stephen Hawking who was part of the January 2007 announcement.

When was the clock closest to midnight?

In 1953, the minute hand rested precariously only two minutes away from midnight and a nuclear-inspired Armageddon. This reflected U.S. development of the hydrogen bomb in October 1952 and its testing on an atoll in the Pacific Ocean. This action provoked the Soviet Union, which nine months later tested its version of the nuclear device. At the time, Bulletin announced: "Only a few more swings of the pendulum and from Moscow to Chicago atomic explosions will strike midnight for Western civilization." The clock ticked back in 1960 to 11:53 when Soviet and U.S. scientists came together to share information at the Pugwash conference. The two superpowers also agreed to avoid any direct confrontations in regional conflicts.

When was the minute hand furthest away?

The Doomsday minute hand sat a comfortable 17 minutes from midnight in 1991, a year after the Cold War ended. At that point, the United States and Russia began the process of disarming through the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty.

The number of nuclear weapons possessed by each side decreased and talks brought down the ready-to-fire status on much of the weaponry.

Why the recent move to five minutes from midnight?

Add a new crop of countries dazzled by nuclear technology to other global threats such as climate change and environmental degradation and the result, according to the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, is almost toxic.

"We stand at the brink of a second nuclear age," the board said in a statement.

The move from seven to five minutes from midnight was decided upon after scientists reviewed the current nuclear situation in combination with expected climate change, marking the first time the Doomsday Clock has ever reflected a separate world threat in addition to the bomb.

"As scientists, we understand the dangers of nuclear weapons and their devastating effects, and we are learning how human activities and technologies are affecting climate systems in ways that may forever change life on earth," said board sponsor Stephen Hawking at the Doomsday Clock announcement in London.

The board emphasized that climate change is a slow process but said that in time its lasting effects and the challenges it will bring to peaceful existence may be second only to atomic weapons.

Climate change can upset the delicate ecosystems of the world, leading to the disappearance of animals, land and even whole societies.

Global warming is also likely to turn much of the world toward nuclear power as an environmentally cleaner alternative to fossil fuels. But this would make nuclear material more readily available and perhaps lead to a dependence on the explosive material.

Today's nuclear weapons, the scientists warn, are already much stronger than their predecessors — 50 of the top nuclear weapons available are capable of wiping out 200 million people.

What's more, there are also 26,000 nuclear remnants leftover from the Cold War in the hands of the U.S. and former members of the Soviet Union. Many of this latter group, it is said, don't have the resources to properly safeguard their stash.

Uranium and plutonium, both atomic materials, are also relatively unguarded in power plants and in research and military facilities. That leaves the material accessible to persons or groups bent on creating nuclear havoc.

Go to the Top

RELATED

External Links

Status of Multilateral Arms Regulation and Disarmament Agreements/Text of treaties

(Note: CBC does not endorse and is not responsible for the content of external sites - links will open in new window)

[an error occurred while processing this directive]
Story Tools: PRINT | Text Size: S M L XL | REPORT TYPO | SEND YOUR FEEDBACK

World »

updated Greece cleans up after anti-austerity riots
Firefighters douse smouldering buildings and cleanup crews sweep rubble from the streets of central Athens after a night of rioting during which lawmakers approved harsh new austerity measures.
Houston autopsy results withheld by police video
Whitney Houston was found in a hotel bathtub but it'll take weeks to determine precisely how she died, a Los Angeles coroner's official says.
Arab League wants UN peacekeepers in Syria
The Arab League has called for the UN Security Council to create a joint peacekeeping force for Syria and urged Arab states to sever all diplomatic contact with President Bashar Assad's regime.
more »

Canada »

new Hit and run victim's family fears accused will walk
The family of a young mother killed in a hit and run is outraged that the case against the alleged driver is among thousands in B.C. at risk of being thrown out because of a huge court backlog.
updated Still no power for 1,500 in Maritimes
Parts of eastern P.E.I. and the Tracadie-Sheila area of New Brunswick still have no electricity Monday morning following a storm Saturday.
Quebec town 'heartbroken' after killing of woman, sisters video
A small Quebec town is in mourning Sunday after a Quebec man was charged with killing his nieces and his mother, who were found dead in their family home.
more »

Politics »

NDP leadership hopefuls face off in Quebec City video
Federal NDP leadership candidates argued over Canada's global standing, climate change and language during a French-only debate in Quebec City on Sunday.
Tibet PM sees human-rights 'tragedy' unfolding
In an exclusive interview Saturday on CBC Radio's The House, the prime minister of the Tibetan government-in-exile, Lobsang Sangay, sounded the alarm on the "tragedy" unfolding in Tibet and called on Canada to take action.
Attawapiskat receives first modular home
The first of 22 modular homes promised by the federal government to Attawapiskat has arrived to the remote northern Ontario First Nations community, the Aboriginal Affairs minister's office has confirmed.
more »

Health »

Chronic fatigue may be reversed with exercise
Taking it easy is not the best treatment for chronic fatigue syndrome, rather exercise and behaviour therapy are, a large study finds.
AT&T buys T-Mobile USA for $39B US
AT&T Inc. said Sunday it will buy T-Mobile USA from Deutsche Telekom AG in a cash-and-stock deal valued at $39 billion US, becoming the largest cellphone company in the U.S.
Milky Way home to 50 billion planets: NASA
Scientists have compiled the first cosmic census of planets in our galaxy: at least 50 billion planets are estimated to call the Milky Way home.
more »

Arts & Entertainment»

Adele wins best album, best record Grammys
Adele capped off a "life-changing" year by winning six Grammys Sunday night, including record of the year and album of the year for 21
Britain's BAFTAs honours The Artist
Silent movie The Artist dominated the British Academy Film awards, the U.K. equivalent of the Oscars, winning seven awards, including best picture.
Houston autopsy results withheld by police video
Whitney Houston was found in a hotel bathtub but it'll take weeks to determine precisely how she died, a Los Angeles coroner's official says.
more »

Technology & Science »

NASA to scale back Mars exploration
Scientists say NASA is about to propose major cuts in its exploration of other planets, especially Mars, with the space agency's former science chief calling the plan irrational.
CBC launches digital music service
CBC is diving into the world of online music with the goal of providing listeners access to their favourite tunes and a way to discover new artists and connect with fellow music fans.
Create-your-own-app product to launch in Moncton
A Moncton entrepreneur is hoping to revolutionize the way mobile applications are created by launching a new product that allows people to develop their own app within minutes.
more »

Money »

Markets gain after Greece approves austerity plan video
World stock markets rise after Greece's parliament approves a new set of austerity measures that were required by international lenders in exchange for an emergency bailout.
Greece passes new austerity deal amid rioting video
Greek lawmakers have approved harsh new austerity measures demanded by bailout creditors to save the debt-crippled nation from bankruptcy, after riots in Athens and other cities left stores looted and burned and more than 120 people hurt.
Air Canada reaches tentative deal with dispatchers
Air Canada has reached a tentative collective agreement with the Canadian Airline Dispatchers Association, representing the airline's 74 flight dispatchers.
more »

Consumer Life »

Honda recalls Fit subcompacts
Honda Canada says it will recall 14,640 of its 2009 and 2010 Fit subcompact cars to replace lost motion springs.
U.S. travel fee proposal criticized by Harper
Prime Minister Stephen Harper says he doesn't think much of a new border tax that's being proposed by the United States, calling it a cash grab designed to help a budget crisis.
Bell class action suit approved by Que. court
A Quebec Superior Court judge has authorized a class action lawsuit to go ahead against Bell Mobility.
more »

Sports »

Scores: NHL NBA

Virtue, Moir outduel Davis, White to win Four Continents video
For the first time in nearly two years, Canada's Tessa Virtue and Scott Moir beat the American team of Meryl Davis and Charlie White in ice dancing. The reigning Olympic champions won gold at the Four Continents Championships on Sunday in Colorado after outduelling Davis and White in the free skate.
Canada fails to advance to Davis Cup quarters
Canada failed to advance to the Davis Cup quarter-finals Sunday as France's Jo-Wilfried Tsonga beat surprise substitute Frank Dancevic in straight sets in Vancouver.
Red Wings tie NHL record with 20th straight home win video
The Detroit Red Wings equalled an NHL record with their 20th straight win at home, beating the Philadelphia Flyers 4-3 Sunday night on the strength of Johan Franzen's tiebreaking goal early in the third period.
more »

Diversions »

[an error occurred while processing this directive]
more »