| Candidate | Delegates | % of delegates |
|---|---|---|
| Ignatieff | 1,377 | 29.3% |
| Rae | 943 | 20.1% |
| Kennedy | 820 | 17.5% |
| Dion | 753 | 16% |
| Dryden | 238 | 5.1% |
| Volpe | 226 | 4.8% |
| Brison | 181 | 3.9% |
| Hall Findlay | 46 | 1.0% |
| Undeclared | 112 | 2.4% |
| 469/469 meetings | ||
Michael Ignatieff emerged as the clear frontrunner in the Liberal leadership contest by taking 29 per cent of the chosen delegates, but is not in a position to win it on the first ballot in December. There are three other contenders who are very much in the race: Bob Rae (with 20 per cent of the delegates), Gerard Kennedy (17.5 per cent) and Stéphane Dion (16 per cent). The four men share 83 per cent of the elected delegates.
Aside from showing who has momentum and who still has a fighting chance, the process tells us who is out of the game: Joe Volpe, Ken Dryden, Scott Brison and Martha Hall Findlay combined took in 15 per cent of the delegates.
But leadership battles aren't always won on the first ballot, so even candidates with fewer delegates could gain momentum as the balloting progresses in the leadership vote.
Also, there are about 850 delegates, known as ex-officio members, who will go to the leadership convention by virtue of their present or past positions within the Liberal party. This includes riding association presidents, MPs, senators and candidates who ran in the last election but lost. There is a theoretical maximum of 6,000 delegates who could vote in December.
Here's how support for the top four contenders stacks up:
Michael Ignatieff: 30 per cent
Ignatieff emerged as the No. 1 candidate in four provinces and two territories and managed to get more delegates than his rivals in two delegate-rich provinces, Ontario and Quebec. He has a weakness in British Columbia, where he didn't even manage to crack the top three.
Bob Rae: 20 per cent
Rae got the most delegates in four provinces, including British Columbia. In Quebec and Ontario, he placed a distant third. In Alberta, he could not even make the top three, with Dion getting more delegates than he did.
Gerard Kennedy: 17 per cent
Kennedy got the most delegates from Alberta. What's worth mentioning, and a key to his power, is the second placing he's gathered in Ontario. If he doesn't last in the leadership race, his Ontario and Alberta delegates could give him the role as a kingmaker.
Stéphane Dion: 17 per cent
He's the only contender who is based outside Ontario. Dion wasn't able to get the most delegates out of his native Quebec, but managed a strong showing behind Ignatieff in the province. Notably, in four provinces — British Columbia, Alberta, New Brunswick and Nova Scotia — Dion picked up the third most delegates.
| Province/Territory | First (Delegates) | Second (Delegates) | Third (Delegates) |
|---|---|---|---|
| B.C. | Rae (147) | Kennedy (129) | Dion (101) |
| Alberta | Kennedy (110) | Ignatieff (105) | Dion (81) |
| Saskatchewan | Ignatieff (81) | Rae (49) | Kennedy (40) |
| Manitoba | Rae (97) | Ignatieff (46) | Dryden (44) |
| Ontario | Ignatieff (473) | Kennedy (429) | Rae (278) |
| Quebec | Ignatieff (401) | Dion (292) | Rae (248) |
| New Brunswick | Ignatieff (57) | Rae (24) | Dion (23) |
| Nova Scotia | Brison (73) | Ignatieff (68) | Dion (17) |
| P.E.I. | Rae (28) | Kennedy (15) | Ignatieff (14) |
| Newfoundland | Rae (36) | Ignatieff (33) | Dryden (19) |
| Nunavut | Kennedy (1) | Undeclared (2) | |
| Yukon | Ignatieff (6) | Rae (1) | Kennedy (1) |
| N.W.T. | Ignatieff (4) | Rae (3) | Kennedy (2) |
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