|
CBC/Radio Canada Pre-Election Poll
During the week leading up to the election call,
the Environics Research
Group polled
Canadians, seeking their views on how the political system is working and how they regard the
country's political, business and labour leaders. In addition to the polling results below, we also
have information on the
methodology used in the survey.
Throughout this document, * = less than one percent.
1. Now thinking about Canada, overall, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with
the way things are going in this country today?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
Satisfied |
49 |
51 |
46 |
Dissatisfied |
48 |
47 |
50 |
DK/NA |
3 |
3 |
4 |
2. What do you think is the most important issue facing the country that the
federal government should deal with?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Health care/health care system |
35 |
34 |
36 |
| Poor government/poor leadership/government scandals/sponsorship issue |
14 |
13 |
16 |
| Economy |
6 |
5 |
7 |
| Taxes |
4 |
4 |
4 |
| International issues/ war/ peace |
4 |
5 |
2 |
| Poverty/ homelessness/ hunger |
4 |
3 |
7 |
| Education |
4 |
4 |
3 |
| Fuel/energy |
4 |
4 |
2 |
| Unemployment |
3 |
3 |
4 |
| Social issues/social safety net/social programs |
2 |
2 |
3 |
| Environment/ pollution |
2 |
2 |
4 |
| Crime/law and order |
2 |
2 |
1 |
| Canada-U.S relations |
2 |
2 |
1 |
| Deficit/debt |
2 |
2 |
1 |
| Other |
5 |
5 |
2 |
| DK/NA |
6 |
2 |
5 |
3. Do you have a great deal of confidence, some confidence, little
confidence, or no confidence at all in each of the following:
a) Political leaders
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| great deal of confidence |
3 |
3 |
2 |
| some confidence |
38 |
42 |
24 |
| little confidence |
34 |
32 |
40 |
| no confidence at all |
24 |
22 |
33 |
| DK/NA |
1 |
1 |
1 |
b) Business leaders
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| great deal of confidence |
8 |
8 |
5 |
| some confidence |
53 |
58 |
37 |
| little confidence |
25 |
22 |
34 |
| no confidence at all |
13 |
10 |
22 |
| DK/NA |
2 |
2 |
3 |
c) Religious leaders
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| great deal of confidence |
11 |
12 |
9 |
| some confidence |
41 |
43 |
34 |
| little confidence |
23 |
23 |
26 |
| no confidence at all |
20 |
17 |
29 |
| DK/NA |
4 |
5 |
2 |
d) Labour leaders
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| great deal of confidence |
5 |
4 |
6 |
| some confidence |
43 |
44 |
40 |
| little confidence |
31 |
31 |
29 |
| no confidence at all |
19 |
17 |
22 |
| DK/NA |
3 |
3 |
3 |
e) The media
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| great deal of confidence |
11 |
12 |
8 |
| some confidence |
55 |
55 |
54 |
| little confidence |
25 |
25 |
28 |
| no confidence at all |
8 |
8 |
10 |
| DK/NA |
* |
* |
* |
4. Can you tell me the name of each of the following:
a) The Prime Minister of Canada?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Paul Martin |
84 |
84 |
87 |
| Jean Chrétien |
3 |
3 |
3 |
| Other |
* |
* |
1 |
| DK/NA |
11 |
12 |
8 |
b) The Leader of the Official Opposition in the House of Commons?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Stephen Harper |
33 |
39 |
17 |
| Peter MacKay |
* |
* |
* |
| Joe Clark |
1 |
* |
1 |
| Gilles Duceppe |
4 |
* |
17 |
| Other |
* |
* |
2 |
| DK/NA |
60 |
59 |
62 |
c) The Minister of Finance in the federal government?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Ralph Goodale |
10 |
10 |
8 |
| Other |
4 |
5 |
4 |
| DK/NA |
84 |
83 |
89 |
d) The president of the United States?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| George Bush |
97 |
97 |
96 |
| Other |
1 |
1 |
* |
| DK/NA |
2 |
2 |
3 |
5. Can you name any countries in the world outside Canada where Canada
military forces are involved in peacekeeping or other military operations? Are
there any others?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Afghanistan |
61 |
64 |
53 |
| Iraq |
39 |
38 |
42 |
| Bosnia |
28 |
29 |
24 |
| Haiti |
22 |
22 |
22 |
| Africa/Liberia/ Congo/Sierra Leone |
9 |
9 |
10 |
| Cyprus |
8 |
10 |
3 |
| Kosovo |
3 |
3 |
2 |
| Iran |
3 |
4 |
1 |
| Former Yugoslavia |
3 |
3 |
2 |
| Middle East |
3 |
2 |
3 |
| Germany |
3 |
3 |
1 |
| Israel |
2 |
2 |
1 |
| Europe |
2 |
2 |
1 |
| Serbia |
2 |
2 |
* |
| Other |
14 |
21 |
5 |
| DK/NA |
9 |
8 |
11 |
6. Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?
a) You don't really expect that politicians will keep their election promises
once they are in power.
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Agree |
75 |
75 |
74 |
| Disagree |
24 |
23 |
26 |
| DK/NA |
1 |
2 |
* |
b) None of the federal political parties really addresses the problems of
people like yourself.
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Agree |
56 |
56 |
55 |
| Disagree |
42 |
42 |
43 |
| DK/NA |
2 |
2 |
3 |
c) Ordinary members of parliament play an important role in determining
government policy.
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Agree |
52 |
51 |
54 |
| Disagree |
46 |
47 |
44 |
| DK/NA |
2 |
2 |
3 |
d) It makes a big difference which political party is in power in Ottawa.
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Agree |
56 |
59 |
47 |
| Disagree |
42 |
40 |
47 |
| DK/NA |
2 |
1 |
6 |
e) When a political party is elected to form a government in this country, it
means that a majority of voters have voted for that party.
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Agree |
62 |
59 |
73 |
| Disagree |
37 |
40 |
26 |
| DK/NA |
1 |
1 |
1 |
f) Federal elections should be held on a fixed date every four years instead
of whenever the party in power wants to call it.
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Agree |
81 |
80 |
84 |
| Disagree |
17 |
18 |
13 |
| DK/NA |
2 |
2 |
2 |
7. The electoral system in this country involves electing members of
parliament from single-member ridings. Other countries have different systems,
such as proportional representation or direct elections for the head of
government. Do you think this country should change the way we elect governments
or keep the electoral system we now have?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Change way we elect |
39 |
39 |
41 |
| Keep system we have |
57 |
57 |
54 |
| DK/NA |
4 |
4 |
5 |
8. Do you think that most politicians are in politics mainly because
they want to do something good for the country or mainly because they
want to advance their own ambitions?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Good of the country |
37 |
39 |
30 |
| Own ambitions |
59 |
57 |
66 |
| DK/NA |
4 |
4 |
4 |
9. Now thinking about federal politics, which of the following party leaders:
Paul Martin, Stephen Harper, Jack Layton or Gilles Duceppe.
a) Is the most capable leader?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Paul Martin |
46 |
49 |
38 |
| Stephen Harper |
14 |
17 |
6 |
| Jack Layton |
6 |
8 |
12 |
| Gilles Duceppe |
6 |
1 |
21 |
| Other |
* |
* |
1 |
| None |
9 |
6 |
16 |
| DK/NA |
19 |
19 |
16 |
b) Is best able to lead an honest and trustworthy government?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Paul Martin |
31 |
31 |
29 |
| Stephen Harper |
18 |
21 |
8 |
| Jack Layton |
12 |
14 |
5 |
| Gilles Duceppe |
6 |
1 |
21 |
| Other |
1 |
* |
1 |
| None |
15 |
12 |
23 |
| DK/NA |
18 |
20 |
13 |
c) Do you like the most?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Paul Martin |
37 |
39 |
30 |
| Stephen Harper |
18 |
22 |
6 |
| Jack Layton |
12 |
15 |
5 |
| Gilles Duceppe |
8 |
1 |
30 |
| Other |
* |
* |
1 |
| None |
13 |
11 |
21 |
| DK/NA |
11 |
13 |
6 |
10. Now, which of the federal political parties do you think best is able to
do each of the following. Is it the Liberal Party, the Conservative Party, the
New Democratic Party or the Bloc Québécois?
a) Solve the health care issues facing the country.
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Liberal Party |
32 |
32 |
31 |
| Conservative Party |
20 |
23 |
8 |
| New Democratic Party |
22 |
26 |
11 |
| Bloc Québécois |
6 |
* |
24 |
| Other party |
* |
* |
1 |
| None |
10 |
8 |
17 |
| DK/NA |
10 |
10 |
9 |
b) Run a government with honesty and integrity.
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Liberal Party |
22 |
23 |
20 |
| Conservative Party |
22 |
27 |
9 |
| New Democratic Party |
19 |
22 |
11 |
| Bloc Québécois |
7 |
1 |
28 |
| Other party |
* |
* |
* |
| None |
18 |
17 |
24 |
| DK/NA |
10 |
10 |
9 |
c) Deal with Canada �V U.S. relations.
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Liberal Party |
50 |
49 |
53 |
| Conservative Party |
23 |
28 |
8 |
| New Democratic Party |
8 |
10 |
5 |
| Bloc Québécois |
3 |
* |
12 |
| Other party |
* |
* |
* |
| None |
5 |
4 |
10 |
| DK/NA |
9 |
9 |
11 |
d) Handle national security issues.
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Liberal Party |
44 |
43 |
48 |
| Conservative Party |
25 |
30 |
9 |
| New Democratic Party |
8 |
9 |
5 |
| Bloc Québécois |
4 |
1 |
13 |
| Other party |
1 |
* |
1 |
| None |
7 |
5 |
12 |
| DK/NA |
12 |
12 |
12 |
e) Handle immigration and refugee issues.
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Liberal Party |
35 |
34 |
39 |
| Conservative Party |
22 |
26 |
7 |
| New Democratic Party |
15 |
17 |
9 |
| Bloc Québécois |
6 |
1 |
20 |
| Other party |
* |
* |
1 |
| None |
8 |
7 |
11 |
| DK/NA |
14 |
14 |
13 |
f) Represent the interests of your province in Ottawa.
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Liberal Party |
32 |
36 |
19 |
| Conservative Party |
26 |
34 |
3 |
| New Democratic Party |
13 |
16 |
3 |
| Bloc Québécois |
16 |
* |
64 |
| Other party |
* |
1 |
* |
| None |
5 |
4 |
6 |
| DK/NA |
9 |
10 |
6 |
g) Deal with national unity and Quebec.
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Liberal Party |
46 |
52 |
25 |
| Conservative Party |
13 |
16 |
4 |
| New Democratic Party |
7 |
9 |
4 |
| Bloc Québécois |
17 |
7 |
49 |
| Other party |
1 |
* |
1 |
| None |
6 |
5 |
9 |
| DK/NA |
11 |
11 |
8 |
11. a) If the federal election were held today, which of the following
parties would you vote for?
b) Perhaps you have not yet made up your mind, but is there a party you might
be inclined to support?
Total sample, combining a) and b):
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Liberal Party |
33 |
35 |
27 |
| Conservative Party |
25 |
31 |
8 |
| New Democratic Party |
18 |
21 |
9 |
| Bloc Québécois |
10 |
- |
40 |
| Other party |
1 |
1 |
* |
| Abstain/will not vote |
- |
- |
- |
| Undecided |
13 |
12 |
16 |
| Refuse to answer |
- |
- |
- |
| DK/NA |
- |
- |
- |
Decided voters only:
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Liberal Party |
38 |
40 |
32 |
| Conservative Party |
29 |
35 |
10 |
| New Democratic Party |
21 |
24 |
10 |
| Bloc Québécois |
11 |
- |
48 |
| Other parties |
1 |
1 |
1 |
c) Asked of Bloc Québécois supporters in a) or b):
Which of these statements most closely reflects your intentions?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| You support the Bloc Québécois today but will probably end up voting
for the Liberals on election day. |
7 |
- |
7 |
| You will probably stay with the Bloc Québécois on election day and for
sure will not be voting for the Liberals. |
90 |
- |
90 |
| DK/NA |
3 |
- |
3 |
12. Which of the following factors do you think will be most important in
influencing which party you vote for in this election?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| The party and its platform |
40 |
38 |
46 |
| The leader of the party |
23 |
23 |
23 |
| The candidate of the party in your riding |
32 |
34 |
27 |
| Other |
- |
- |
- |
| DK/NA |
4 |
4 |
4 |
13. a) As you may know, Canada decided not to send Canadian forces to Iraq in
last year's U.S.-led war in Iraq. Do you support or oppose this decision?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Support |
79 |
77 |
88 |
| Oppose |
19 |
22 |
10 |
| DK/NA |
2 |
2 |
2 |
b) And does this issue make Canada's foreign policy a more important
factor in how you will vote in a federal election or does it make no
difference to how you will vote?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| More important |
37 |
40 |
26 |
| Make no difference |
62 |
58 |
72 |
| DK/NA |
1 |
1 |
1 |
14. Do you think the next federal election will result in a majority
government or a minority government?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Majority |
44 |
44 |
43 |
| Minority |
49 |
48 |
49 |
| DK/NA |
8 |
8 |
7 |
15. Which do you think is better for the country, a majority government or a
minority government, or does it make no difference?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Majority |
40 |
38 |
49 |
| Minority |
35 |
36 |
30 |
| Makes no difference |
23 |
24 |
19 |
| DK/NA |
2 |
2 |
2 |
16. a) When it comes to the topic of national
unity, do you think that Quebec sovereignty will be or will not an issue in
the next few years?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Will be |
42 |
41 |
45 |
| Will not |
54 |
55 |
50 |
| DK/NA |
4 |
4 |
5 |
b) In your opinion, is it very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely or
not at all likely that a majority of Quebecers would vote Yes to sovereignty if
a referendum were held in Quebec within the next five years?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Very likely |
14 |
14 |
15 |
| Somewhat likely |
25 |
25 |
25 |
| Not very likely |
44 |
44 |
44 |
| Not at all likely |
13 |
12 |
14 |
| DK/NA |
4 |
4 |
3 |
17. In February, the Auditor General of Canada found that the federal
government had broken normal accounting rules when it spent millions of dollars
promoting the federal government in Quebec during the 1990's.
a) Has the ponsorship issue influenced you way you intend to vote in the upcoming federal
election?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Yes |
48 |
46 |
56 |
| No |
48 |
50 |
40 |
| Won't vote/not eligible |
1 |
1 |
2 |
| DK/NA |
3 |
3 |
2 |
b) Do you think the federal government was or was not justified in trying to
fight separatism by promoting the visibility of the Government of Canada in
Quebec?
|
Total |
ROC |
Quebec |
| Was justified |
39 |
44 |
24 |
| Was not justified |
54 |
49 |
72 |
| DK/NA |
7 |
8 |
4 |
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