CBC News Federal Election
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Democracy Poll

CBC/Radio Canada Pre-Election Poll

During the week leading up to the election call, the Environics Research GroupLink opens in new window polled Canadians, seeking their views on how the political system is working and how they regard the country's political, business and labour leaders. In addition to the polling results below, we also have information on the methodology used in the survey.

Throughout this document, * = less than one percent.


1. Now thinking about Canada, overall, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in this country today?

Total ROC Quebec

Satisfied

49 51 46

Dissatisfied

48 47 50

DK/NA

3 3 4

 

2. What do you think is the most important issue facing the country that the federal government should deal with?

Total ROC Quebec
Health care/health care system 35 34 36
Poor government/poor leadership/government scandals/sponsorship issue 14 13 16
Economy 6 5 7
Taxes 4 4 4
International issues/ war/ peace 4 5 2
Poverty/ homelessness/ hunger 4 3 7
Education 4 4 3
Fuel/energy 4 4 2
Unemployment 3 3 4
Social issues/social safety net/social programs 2 2 3
Environment/ pollution 2 2 4
Crime/law and order 2 2 1
Canada-U.S relations 2 2 1
Deficit/debt 2 2 1
Other 5 5 2
DK/NA 6 2 5

 

3. Do you have a great deal of confidence, some confidence, little confidence, or no confidence at all in each of the following:

a) Political leaders

Total ROC Quebec
great deal of confidence 3 3 2
some confidence 38 42 24
little confidence 34 32 40
no confidence at all 24 22 33
DK/NA 1 1 1

b) Business leaders

Total ROC Quebec
great deal of confidence 8 8 5
some confidence 53 58 37
little confidence 25 22 34
no confidence at all 13 10 22
DK/NA 2 2 3

c) Religious leaders

Total ROC Quebec
great deal of confidence 11 12 9
some confidence 41 43 34
little confidence 23 23 26
no confidence at all 20 17 29
DK/NA 4 5 2

d) Labour leaders

Total ROC Quebec
great deal of confidence 5 4 6
some confidence 43 44 40
little confidence 31 31 29
no confidence at all 19 17 22
DK/NA 3 3 3

e) The media

Total ROC Quebec
great deal of confidence 11 12 8
some confidence 55 55 54
little confidence 25 25 28
no confidence at all 8 8 10
DK/NA * * *

 

4. Can you tell me the name of each of the following:

a) The Prime Minister of Canada?

Total ROC Quebec
Paul Martin 84 84 87
Jean Chrétien 3 3 3
Other * * 1
DK/NA 11 12 8

b) The Leader of the Official Opposition in the House of Commons?

Total ROC Quebec
Stephen Harper 33 39 17
Peter MacKay * * *
Joe Clark 1 * 1
Gilles Duceppe 4 * 17
Other * * 2
DK/NA 60 59 62

c) The Minister of Finance in the federal government?

Total ROC Quebec
Ralph Goodale 10 10 8
Other 4 5 4
DK/NA 84 83 89

d) The president of the United States?

Total ROC Quebec
George Bush 97 97 96
Other 1 1 *
DK/NA 2 2 3

 

5. Can you name any countries in the world outside Canada where Canada military forces are involved in peacekeeping or other military operations? Are there any others?

Total ROC Quebec
Afghanistan 61 64 53
Iraq 39 38 42
Bosnia 28 29 24
Haiti 22 22 22
Africa/Liberia/ Congo/Sierra Leone 9 9 10
Cyprus 8 10 3
Kosovo 3 3 2
Iran 3 4 1
Former Yugoslavia 3 3 2
Middle East 3 2 3
Germany 3 3 1
Israel 2 2 1
Europe 2 2 1
Serbia 2 2 *
Other 14 21 5
DK/NA 9 8 11

 

6. Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?

a) You don't really expect that politicians will keep their election promises once they are in power.

Total ROC Quebec
Agree 75 75 74
Disagree 24 23 26
DK/NA 1 2 *

b) None of the federal political parties really addresses the problems of people like yourself.

Total ROC Quebec
Agree 56 56 55
Disagree 42 42 43
DK/NA 2 2 3

c) Ordinary members of parliament play an important role in determining government policy.

Total ROC Quebec
Agree 52 51 54
Disagree 46 47 44
DK/NA 2 2 3

d) It makes a big difference which political party is in power in Ottawa.

Total ROC Quebec
Agree 56 59 47
Disagree 42 40 47
DK/NA 2 1 6

e) When a political party is elected to form a government in this country, it means that a majority of voters have voted for that party.

Total ROC Quebec
Agree 62 59 73
Disagree 37 40 26
DK/NA 1 1 1

f) Federal elections should be held on a fixed date every four years instead of whenever the party in power wants to call it.

Total ROC Quebec
Agree 81 80 84
Disagree 17 18 13
DK/NA 2 2 2

 

7. The electoral system in this country involves electing members of parliament from single-member ridings. Other countries have different systems, such as proportional representation or direct elections for the head of government. Do you think this country should change the way we elect governments or keep the electoral system we now have?

Total ROC Quebec
Change way we elect 39 39 41
Keep system we have 57 57 54
DK/NA 4 4 5

 

8. Do you think that most politicians are in politics mainly because they want to do something good for the country or mainly because they want to advance their own ambitions?

Total ROC Quebec
Good of the country 37 39 30
Own ambitions 59 57 66
DK/NA 4 4 4

 

9. Now thinking about federal politics, which of the following party leaders: Paul Martin, Stephen Harper, Jack Layton or Gilles Duceppe.

a) Is the most capable leader?

Total ROC Quebec
Paul Martin 46 49 38
Stephen Harper 14 17 6
Jack Layton 6 8 12
Gilles Duceppe 6 1 21
Other * * 1
None 9 6 16
DK/NA 19 19 16

b) Is best able to lead an honest and trustworthy government?

Total ROC Quebec
Paul Martin 31 31 29
Stephen Harper 18 21 8
Jack Layton 12 14 5
Gilles Duceppe 6 1 21
Other 1 * 1
None 15 12 23
DK/NA 18 20 13

c) Do you like the most?

Total ROC Quebec
Paul Martin 37 39 30
Stephen Harper 18 22 6
Jack Layton 12 15 5
Gilles Duceppe 8 1 30
Other * * 1
None 13 11 21
DK/NA 11 13 6

 

10. Now, which of the federal political parties do you think best is able to do each of the following. Is it the Liberal Party, the Conservative Party, the New Democratic Party or the Bloc Québécois?

a) Solve the health care issues facing the country.

Total ROC Quebec
Liberal Party 32 32 31
Conservative Party 20 23 8
New Democratic Party 22 26 11
Bloc Québécois 6 * 24
Other party * * 1
None 10 8 17
DK/NA 10 10 9

b) Run a government with honesty and integrity.

Total ROC Quebec
Liberal Party 22 23 20
Conservative Party 22 27 9
New Democratic Party 19 22 11
Bloc Québécois 7 1 28
Other party * * *
None 18 17 24
DK/NA 10 10 9

c) Deal with Canada �V U.S. relations.

Total ROC Quebec
Liberal Party 50 49 53
Conservative Party 23 28 8
New Democratic Party 8 10 5
Bloc Québécois 3 * 12
Other party * * *
None 5 4 10
DK/NA 9 9 11

d) Handle national security issues.

Total ROC Quebec
Liberal Party 44 43 48
Conservative Party 25 30 9
New Democratic Party 8 9 5
Bloc Québécois 4 1 13
Other party 1 * 1
None 7 5 12
DK/NA 12 12 12

e) Handle immigration and refugee issues.

Total ROC Quebec
Liberal Party 35 34 39
Conservative Party 22 26 7
New Democratic Party 15 17 9
Bloc Québécois 6 1 20
Other party * * 1
None 8 7 11
DK/NA 14 14 13

f) Represent the interests of your province in Ottawa.

Total ROC Quebec
Liberal Party 32 36 19
Conservative Party 26 34 3
New Democratic Party 13 16 3
Bloc Québécois 16 * 64
Other party * 1 *
None 5 4 6
DK/NA 9 10 6

g) Deal with national unity and Quebec.

Total ROC Quebec
Liberal Party 46 52 25
Conservative Party 13 16 4
New Democratic Party 7 9 4
Bloc Québécois 17 7 49
Other party 1 * 1
None 6 5 9
DK/NA 11 11 8

 

11. a) If the federal election were held today, which of the following parties would you vote for?

b) Perhaps you have not yet made up your mind, but is there a party you might be inclined to support?

Total sample, combining a) and b):

Total ROC Quebec
Liberal Party 33 35 27
Conservative Party 25 31 8
New Democratic Party 18 21 9
Bloc Québécois 10 - 40
Other party 1 1 *
Abstain/will not vote - - -
Undecided 13 12 16
Refuse to answer - - -
DK/NA - - -

Decided voters only:

Total ROC Quebec
Liberal Party 38 40 32
Conservative Party 29 35 10
New Democratic Party 21 24 10
Bloc Québécois 11 - 48
Other parties 1 1 1

c) Asked of Bloc Québécois supporters in a) or b):

Which of these statements most closely reflects your intentions?

Total ROC Quebec
You support the Bloc Québécois today but will probably end up voting for the Liberals on election day. 7 - 7
You will probably stay with the Bloc Québécois on election day and for sure will not be voting for the Liberals. 90 - 90
DK/NA 3 - 3

 

12. Which of the following factors do you think will be most important in influencing which party you vote for in this election?

Total ROC Quebec
The party and its platform 40 38 46
The leader of the party 23 23 23
The candidate of the party in your riding 32 34 27
Other - - -
DK/NA 4 4 4

 

13. a) As you may know, Canada decided not to send Canadian forces to Iraq in last year's U.S.-led war in Iraq. Do you support or oppose this decision?

Total ROC Quebec
Support 79 77 88
Oppose 19 22 10
DK/NA 2 2 2

b) And does this issue make Canada's foreign policy a more important factor in how you will vote in a federal election or does it make no difference to how you will vote?

Total ROC Quebec
More important 37 40 26
Make no difference 62 58 72
DK/NA 1 1 1

 

14. Do you think the next federal election will result in a majority government or a minority government?

Total ROC Quebec
Majority 44 44 43
Minority 49 48 49
DK/NA 8 8 7

 

15. Which do you think is better for the country, a majority government or a minority government, or does it make no difference?

Total ROC Quebec
Majority 40 38 49
Minority 35 36 30
Makes no difference 23 24 19
DK/NA 2 2 2

 

16. a) When it comes to the topic of national unity, do you think that Quebec sovereignty will be or will not an issue in the next few years?

Total ROC Quebec
Will be 42 41 45
Will not 54 55 50
DK/NA 4 4 5

b) In your opinion, is it very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely or not at all likely that a majority of Quebecers would vote Yes to sovereignty if a referendum were held in Quebec within the next five years?

Total ROC Quebec
Very likely 14 14 15
Somewhat likely 25 25 25
Not very likely 44 44 44
Not at all likely 13 12 14
DK/NA 4 4 3

 

17. In February, the Auditor General of Canada found that the federal government had broken normal accounting rules when it spent millions of dollars promoting the federal government in Quebec during the 1990's.

a) Has the ponsorship issue influenced you way you intend to vote in the upcoming federal election?

Total ROC Quebec
Yes 48 46 56
No 48 50 40
Won't vote/not eligible 1 1 2
DK/NA 3 3 2

b) Do you think the federal government was or was not justified in trying to fight separatism by promoting the visibility of the Government of Canada in Quebec?

Total ROC Quebec
Was justified 39 44 24
Was not justified 54 49 72
DK/NA 7 8 4

 

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