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This spring has been really cold... why is that? Will next year be warmer, or is this a new trend?

Question submitted by Meg (New Westminster)

I get so many questions about the "state of our weather" and whether or not we can expect a "warmer or sunnier" summer. Unfortunately these questions are far more difficult to answer than they seem.

There's an old saying in the "weather industry" that states the following.. "weather is what you get, climate is what you want". Generally most of us would like see seasonal average temperatures and weather during any time of the year, but that simply isn't likely. The atmosphere is a fluid and carries too many variations within it for us to really hope to get seasonal weather all the time.

As far as forecasting for the seasons goes, well, to be quite honest, we're horrendously bad at it. We barely have a fundamental grasp of all the forcing agents at work on short term weather, so much so that our long range forecasts are often grossly misleading. That being said, Environment Canada does issue 'seasonal outlooks'. You can check them out at the following:

http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/saisons/index_e.html

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