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While polls and pundits are predicting an easy Tory win on Monday,
there are still a number of ridings that could prove interesting
to watch as the results roll in.
Perhaps not surprisingly, most are in Edmonton, where eight of
the nine opposition MLAs were elected in 2001 and where anti-government
sentiment had the strongest voice during the campaign.
Analysts say much depends on whether a tide of anti-Tory/anti-Klein
backlash sweeps across the province, nudging the close races.
Here is a look at some of the ridings where the races could be
interesting:
Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview
Tory Julius Yankowski won this seat in the 2001 by about
1,400 votes. His main challenger is former NDP leader Ray Martin,
who is now a school trustee.
Voters in this riding have elected members from all three main
parties over the past three decades. Yankowski was initially elected
as a Liberal.
Edmonton-Calder
Brent Rathgeber won this seat for the Progressive Conservatives
in 2001 by about 500 votes.
However, NDP hopeful Dave Eggen, a teacher, has been knocking on
doors in the riding for two years.
Liberal candidate Brad Smith, who is using an RV as a campaign
office, has the backing of his union - the Alberta Union of Public
Employees.
Voters in this riding have elected Tories, Liberals and New Democrats
since 1971.
Edmonton-Decore
Liberal Bill Bonner was elected in the former riding of Edmonton-Glengarry
by 69 votes. He isn't running this time.
This riding pits Liberal Bill Bonko, a former school trustee, against
the Tories' Walter Szwender, a former PC MLA.
Gary Masyk, who was elected as Tory in 2001 and then decamped to
the Alberta Alliance this summer, is also running here, after his
old riding was eliminated in the redistribution.
Edmonton-Ellerslie
Debby Carlson won this seat for the Liberals in 2001, edging out
her opponents by about 300 votes. She resigned earlier this year
to make an unsuccessful federal run.
The Liberal candidate is Bharat Agnihotri, a real estate agent,
Gurnam Dodd, who works for Edmonton Transit, is running for the
PCs, and Marilyn Assheton-Smith is the NDP candidate.
Edmonton-Glenora
Viewed by many as the tightest three-way race in the province, Tory
incumbent Drew Hutton is challenged by Liberal Bruce Miller and
the NDP's Larry Booi.
Both opposition parties have targeted this riding with what they
consider to be star candidates.
Booi is the former head of the Alberta Teachers' Association who
went head-to-head with the government many times and took his teachers
out on a province-wide strike in 2002.
Miller is a United Church minister and well-known in the community.
Hutton won the riding by fewer than 200 votes in 2001.
The biggest factor in this riding could be strategic voting - will
the NDP and Liberals split the vote, or can one of them pull enough
voters to beat Hutton.
Edmonton-Manning
Tory Tony Vandermeer won his seat by fewer than 400 votes in 2001,
and is considered to have the lowest profile of all the PC MLAs.
The Liberal candidate is Dan Backs, and the party held the riding
before Vandermeer.
Edmonton-McClung
Mark Norris, touted as a PC leadership contender, beat former Liberal
leader Nancy MacBeth for this seat in 2001.
The Liberals would like to reclaim it, and are pinning their hopes
on pharmacist Mo Elsalhy.
Edmonton-Mill
Woods
Liberal Don Massey won this riding by about 500 votes in 2001, and
he's not running this time.
PC candidate Naresh Bhardwaj and Liberal candidate Weslyn Mather
are battling for the seat - and in a twist, they both work at J.
Percy Page School, where he is a teacher and she is an assistant
principal.
Edmonton-Rutherford
Tory Ian McClelland, a former Reform MP, won in 2001 by
about 600 votes.
His main challenger, as it was in the last election, is expected
to be Liberal Rick Miller. The Liberals are hoping Alberta Alliance
candidate Bob Ewart can pull enough votes from McClelland to allow
Miller to slip by.
Lethbridge-East
Former Liberal leader Ken Nicol comfortably held this riding - the
only opposition seat outside of Edmonton - but the prevailing thinking
is that most people voted for Nicol, not the party he represented.
Nicol stepped down last spring to launch an unsuccessful federal
run.
Former Lethbridge alderman Bridget Pastoor is hoping to take his
place, while lawyer Rod Fong is hoping to put it in the PC column.
Calgary-Currie
Few expect the Tories to lose any seats in Calgary. However,
Calgary-Currie could be interesting to watch.
Tory Jon Lord won the seat in 2001 by more than 2,000 votes, and
the riding hasn't voted for anyone other than a Conservative since
1971.
The Liberals are running Dave Taylor, a radio talk show host, against
him.
Calgary-Buffalo
PC Harvey Cenaiko won this seat by more than 1,500 votes
in 2001.
However, the riding had been Liberal for 15 years before that.
The Liberals are running lawyer Terry Taylor, son of former leader
Nick Taylor.
As well, the riding has a large number of renters, and a more transient
population makes it more difficult to predict.
Calgary-Mountain
View
Mark Hlady won this seat for the Conservatives by more
than 4,000 votes in 2001.
But Liberal David Swann has some name recognition as the medical
officer of health fired for his pro-Kyoto stance. And before Hlady's
first win in 1993, the riding had belonged to the NDP.
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